Reason for concern: Their defense has been a liability for much of the season, particularly against the run. Chiefs Absent a key interception or fourth-down stop, however, they will be vulnerable in the playoffs. The team has tried to address the issue by adding Cole Beasley and John Brown to the practice squad, but the former Bills might not be enough to help Allen in the postseason. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? Philadelphia will host the lowest remaining seed, which could be the Buccaneers, Cowboys, Giants or Seahawks. Seattle was in that position thanks to its overtime win against the Rams. 4. At the time, the FPI gave Green Bay only a 3% chance to reach the postseason. WebThe Cardinals' victory via Hail Mary on Sunday didn't just thrill NFL viewers. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Playoff Machine . Playing with a roster depleted by COVID-19 protocols, the Browns lost to a one-win team, and they are hanging on to their playoff chances by a thread. And while they've shown improvement in that area of late, that's come against teams that don't have strong run games. The Bucs opened the season by defeating the Cowboys 19-3 on the road in Week 1 and Brady is undefeated (7-0) against Dallas in his career. 2. 1 seed this week because of the Kansas City Chiefs' win over the Denver Broncos on Sunday. You have to make sure you're matching their speed in both areas." FPI chances to make playoffs: 92.2% FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 1.9%. Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. In the AFC wild-card race, the Dolphins lose at New England, hurting their playoff chances. And they might have to equal that total in three straight weeks. 1 seed, z clinched division 1. y Tennessee Titans (12-5) 2. z Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) 3. z Buffalo Bills (11-6) 4. z Cincinnati Bengals (10-7) 5. x Las Vegas Raiders (10-7) -- Kevin Seifert, Is Justin Jefferson the best receiver in the NFL not on your team? Reason for concern: For most of the season, the Vikings' defense has ranked last in the NFL in yards allowed. I think he does a really good job at the catch point. NYG-PHI: Eagles 31, Giants 15 He can get vertical and score." Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Result: Defeated the Indianapolis Colts 20-3 to clinch a playoff berth. --- But after both teams lose in Week 17, it comes down to a Week 18 contest. Houston Texans (4-12-1) Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios New York Giants (9-6-1) Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. Here is the current playoff picture for Week 18 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 2.7%. Week 18: at Buffalo Bills Here's the updated AFC playoff picture after the Week 10 games. The Jets fall to the Seahawks, knocking New York out of the race. FPI chances to win division: Clinched Miami Dolphins, 7-3 (AFC East leader) 3. Whoever wins the NFC East will be the first team in NFL history (of 342 candidates) to start a season 2-7 or worse and go on to make the playoffs, according to research by the Elias Sports Bureau. -- NFC player. Each N.F.L. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. The possible permutations of how those 32 games could go are virtually endless. 2, 68.9%, How did the Rams come back? Result: The Bucs defeated the Panthers 30-24 to clinch the NFC South title and eliminate Carolina from playoff consideration. Lose? NFL playoff picture after Week 18: Lions knock out Packers, send Seahawks to final NFC wild-card berth. ARI-ATL: Falcons 22, Cardinals 21 Losing Gronk was big." Opponent: Buffalo Bills (12-3) | Postponed. CHI-DET: Bears 37, Lions 29 (5) Chargers at (4) Jaguars ET, Fox). Playoff Predictors is a suite of playoff machines that allows you to pick every game of the season (up to the championship), and will correctly rank teams according to the league's rules. 1-seed drama. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. FPI chances to win division: Clinched http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Also: Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and, of course, final score picks.. Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information . 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. A win and a Titans loss also would give the Colts the AFC South title. Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) Green Bay Packers (9-8) 1 seed, so they won't play until the divisional round on Jan. 21 or 22. His jump cut is amazing. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? USA TODAY. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) 7 seed with a win over the New York Jets. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The Bucs are in. Ryan Fitzpatrick's comeback might not only push the Dolphins into the playoffs, but it also could hold out the Browns or another qualified team. LAC-DEN: Broncos 41, Chargers 33 Most intriguing player on MLB teams Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. Bosa deal will 'break the entire bank' Jump to: ET, CBS). The No. Reason for hope: The Chiefs don't strike as quickly as they once did, but they are still potent offensively. The Bengals and Ravens split their two meetings, with Cincinnati winning 27-16 on Sunday and the Ravens prevailing 19-17 at home in Week 5. Projecting the NFL playoff picture: Live updated chances to clinch, tight races to watch, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? The Rams won, but they didn't make it back to the postseason. First-game outlook: The Cowboys will play at the Buccaneers in the wild-card round Monday, Jan. 16 (8:15 p.m. 3, 68.2%. Let's take a look into the FPI's crystal ball. This could be a fatal flaw against superior opponents they face in the playoffs. Scouting reports | Order | More , Reason for concern: Teams want to peak as they hit January, and that's not what's happening with the Eagles, who have looked shaky at times over the last several weeks. Super Bowl odds: +5000 Live in-game win probabilities measure multiple factors, including score, time remaining, field position, down-and-distance, team/opponent strength and game site. Tennessee Titans, 6-3 (AFC South leader) 4. Detroit is eliminated from playoff contention after the Seahawks' win. ET, Fox). Meanwhile, the New York Giants' quest for a playoff berth is still unresolved after a walk-off loss to the Minnesota Vikings. They've missed eight field goals and five PATs, forfeiting a total of 29 points directly with their kicking game while their opponents forfeited six (two missed field goals and zero missed PATs). Trevor Lawrence is superb once again for the Jags, while the Titans' Malik Willis-led offense could never get going. 2 seed. Since November began, he is second in the NFL in completion percentage (69.7%), third in passer rating (104.6) and eighth in Total QBR (63.5). They'll be dealing with much better quarterbacks and offensive lines in the postseason. BAL-CIN: Bengals 31, Ravens 25 6. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. ET, CBS). Dallas Cowboys (6-9): The Cowboys can win the NFC East if they beat the Giants in Week 17 and Washington loses to the Eagles. ESPN.com national NFL writer; ESPN.com NFC North reporter, 2008-2013; New York's last trip to U.S. Bank Stadium was a nail-biter, as the Vikings beat the Giants 27-24 in Week 16 on a walk-off field goal. A matchup with the Dolphins would be a reunion with wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who played six seasons in K.C. Mahomes wins second SB MVP Here are the current standings in the East, with the bottom four seeds lining up for the Play-In Tournament. Odds are via Caesars Sportsbook. Baltimore Ravens (10-5). Make Your Picks. FPI chances to win division: Clinched The Dolphins have averaged 16.3 points per game when Tagovailoa doesn't play, 25.5 when he does. Baltimore Ravens, 6-3 (AFC North leader) 5. The Panthers give them a run for it, but Brady leads a drive for a game-winning field goal to give Tampa Bay the 24-21 decision. Wide receiver Mike Evans was a big part of that, with three touchdowns -- the first time he'd reached the end zone since Week 4. Davante Adams No. If Purdy can clear that relatively low bar, the Niners should be fine. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making the field, seven from each conference. Reason for hope: Cincinnati is playing better than it did last season, when the Bengals won the AFC North and reached the Super Bowl for the first time in 33 years. The defense has not been as dominant but should be closer to 100% with the returns of linebacker Leighton Vander Esch and defensive tackle Johnathan Hankins, which will help the run defense. Reason for concern: In all likelihood, the Cowboys are going to have to win multiple road games to get to the Super Bowl. He definitely in my opinion is the MVP of the league." -- Michael DiRocco, What's the most difficult thing about facing Lawrence? Our bracket is still intact, and our final four and Super Bowl. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Reason for hope: The Eagles have one of the best rosters in football, an MVP candidate at quarterback in Jalen Hurts and an offense that should be able to adapt to any style. And then the Vikings suffer an upset loss to the Bears in the final week of the season, which allows Brock Purdy and the 49ers to swoop in for the No. Those motions, the guy gets on one side of the field or formation to the other side very fast and can either outflank the defense or draw the defense out to create more space inside. The Bills cannot clinch the AFC's No. QB Hot Board | First-round grades TB-ATL: Buccaneers 34, Falcons 17 The Dolphins can't clinch in Week 16, but a victory in Week 17 over the Bills would do it, as would a loss by the Ravens, Browns or Colts. Jacksonville, which is making its first playoff appearance since 2017, demolished the Chargers 38-10 at SoFi Stadium in Week 3. Ultimately, they won when Falcons Pro Bowl kicker Younghoe Koo missed what would have been a game-tying 39-yard field goal with 9 seconds remaining. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 49.8%. 1 seed. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 3.3%. Kansas City will host the lowest-seeded remaining wild card, which could be the Jaguars, Chargers, Ravens or Dolphins. Ravens The Steelers are eliminated from playoff contention with the Dolphins' win over the Jets. (6) Ravens at (3) Bengals FPI chances to win division: Eliminated First-game outlook: The Dolphins return to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and will play at AFC East rival Buffalo in the wild-card round on Sunday (1 p.m. Washington will win it if it beats the Eagles. In two playoff games last season, Allen threw nine touchdown passes to zero interceptions and threw for more than 600 yards. Well, it's just one simulation, but we can tell you how it plays out in World No. Their 6-3 start included a pair of 14-point wins over the playoff-bound Giants and Chargers. -- AFC player. The Bucs clinched a playoff berth on Saturday by crushing the Lions, but the Saints' win on Friday eliminated them from the NFC South title race. NFL playoff picture: After Seahawks claim NFC West, could the Rams now fall out of the playoffs? New York Jets (7-10) The Giants are also getting healthier defensively with Adoree' Jackson (knee), their top cornerback, and safety Xavier McKinney (hand) returning. The Packers' improbable run to the postseason after a year of mostly forgettable football. Dolphins cling to playoff spot: After losing in Week 17 to New England, Miami doesn't control its destiny entering Week 18, needing a win and a Patriots loss to get in. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Seahawks clinch NFC West behind resurgent D, Big Ben drives rally as Steelers clinch AFC North, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information, Covered Vikings for Minneapolis Star Tribune, 1999-2008. The Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals are looking to make final pushes in their quests for the AFC North title. 10. The 2022 NFL season is only one week from wrapping up, which means the playoff picture is really taking shape. -- Todd Archer, What could limit Prescott from going to the Super Bowl? Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. San Francisco 49ers (12-5) They have struggled playing against the tougher competition in a year that was supposed to be a rebuild. The Philadelphia Eagles fell short of clinching the NFC East and home-field advantage, losing to the visiting New Orleans Saints. They lost to Tampa Bay in the wild-card round last year. Result: Defeated the Chicago Bears 35-13 to clinch the AFC East title. -- NFC offensive player. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. He's not doing that anymore. . Despite featuring quarterback Justin Herbert, who passed Andrew Luck this season for the most passing yards through a quarterback's first three seasons, along with Allen, Williams and running back Austin Ekeler -- who leads the league in touchdowns -- the Bolts have at times been unable to move the ball and score in the red zone, where they rank in the bottom half of the league in efficiency. 1. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. -- Adam Teicher, What makes Travis Kelce the toughest tight end in the game? And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. FPI chances to win division: Clinched The Cowboys have also beaten Philadelphia and Minnesota, two other top NFC contenders. The offense has sputtered during the final month of the season, and Tagovailoa, while still one of the more efficient passers in the NFL, was struggling as opposing defenses took away timing routes over the middle of the field. As far as having the confidence to put it out there and give his guys a chance, and the ability to put it where it's supposed to be, I think he's at the very top." Super Bowl odds: +5000 Here's how they're seeded and their opening weekend matchup: AFC 1. New England Patriots (8-9) Kansas City clinched the 1-seed in the AFC with its win over the Las Vegas Raiders. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched NFL Playoff Machine. The 2022 NFL season came down to the end once again, as the Lions' victory over the Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday night sent the Seahawks to the playoffs. 6, 46.7%. Reason for hope: Quarterback Daniel Jones has played well down the stretch. If the season ended today we'd have the Heat . Nfl Playoff Picture 2020 - Week 10 Standings, Bracket, Scenarios . For football fans, the annual unveiling of ESPN's Playoff Machine is as much of a holiday as Christmas or Thanksgiving. If the Rams lose and the Bears win, L.A. will miss the postseason after entering Week 16 with a 96.2% chance to make the playoffs, per FPI. His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. So now it's time for the really fun part: the 2022 NFL playoffs. -- Ben Baby, Where does Burrow rank among QBs in the fourth quarter? Reason for concern: While Allen gives the Bills hope, the lack of a consistent slot receiver and drop issues are concerning for a Bills offense that has been up and down at times. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. Cardinals grab No. -- AFC defensive player. Simultaneously, the Lions -- who looked like they were barreling toward a wild-card berth a few weeks prior -- skid to a halt with a three-game losing streak to finish the season. NFL Week 16 playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Bills win AFC East, Chargers, Ravens clinch berths, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Reason for hope: After struggling to field a downfield passing attack and break the 17-point threshold all season on offense, the Bucs put up 30 points against the Panthers in Week 17, suggesting quarterback Tom Brady and the offense might be getting hot at the right time. Josh Allen & Co. can take a week off before their postseason begins. Really, really good linebacker. Reason for hope: The Dolphins' offense features two of the most explosive playmakers in the NFL in receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, both of whom can change a game with a single reception. Yuck. Giants Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Super Bowl odds: +3500 But the two-leg parlay hit: The Dolphins narrowly escape the Mike White-led Jets in a 19-17 win, while the Bills knock out New England. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+). The Steelers beat the Ravens, which keeps Pittsburgh alive. The 49ers didn't clinch a playoff spot on Sunday, but they can do it in Week 18 with a win at the Rams or a loss by the Saints. The Packers weren't able to clinch the NFC's top spot, despite Sunday night's victory over the Titans, because both the Saints and Seahawks won in Week 16. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. 1. It's time to buckle up for some unexpected twists and turns. Meet top names | Most polarizing NYJ-MIA: Dolphins 19, Jets 17 Playoff Picture Through 15 Weeks 1 of 6 Aaron Doster/Associated Press AFC 1. Points are more important than yards, of course, but the only reason opponents haven't converted those yards into more points is the Vikings have been exceptionally good at the end of games. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. If quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is medically cleared to return from concussion protocol, Miami can put up points with any team in the NFL and has shown the ability to quickly erase deficits. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? The Bills sit at 12-3 -- the same record as Kansas City but with a head-to-head tiebreaker over the Chiefs and a game up on the Bengals, their Week 17 opponent. LAR-SEA: Rams 23, Seahawks 16 FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 11.2%. So, if he's looking at a lot of zone looks he'll just find the soft spots over and over and Mahomes has been around him so long he just knows how Kelce will settle in all of those looks. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? 2 seed from Vikings: The scorching-hot Niners trip up in Week 17, unexpectedly dropping a game to the Jarrett Stidham-led Raiders. Everything is on the table. ago The most notable development of Week 18? Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Let's break down the state of the race following the 15thand longestweek of the 2021 NFL campaign. Reset Week Randomize Week Want to predict just the Playoffs? -- AFC player. Super Bowl odds: +6000 Jan 8. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI More FPI chances to make playoffs: 87.3% 2. It presents all sorts of opportunities and questions about the future of the Cardinals' leadership and the direction of the franchise and, at a minimum, gives the team a tremendous asset to jump-start a rebuild. Offensive line woes are a reason for that, as right guard Alex Cappa suffered a left ankle injury in the Week 18 win. The Saints clinched their fourth consecutive NFC South championship with Friday's wild victory over the Vikings. Predicting Final 2022 Nfl Playoff Picture - Scores For . "Turnovers. It has happened only two other times in the Super Bowl era: the 2014 Panthers (7-8-1) and the 2010 Seahawks (7-9). 4. The Packers will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Lions. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making the field, seven from each conference. -- Lindsey Thiry, What does Khalil Mack do that changes the Chargers' defense? Last season's top seeds were upset in the divisional round, and the No. 1 overall draft pick in late-season stunner: Arizona has just a 2% chance to earn the No. 3. "He's in my top three receivers. Result: Defeated the Atlanta Falcons 17-9 and clinched a playoff berth after losses by the New York Jets and New England Patriots. That, plus a defense that leads the league in passing defense (179.8 yards allowed per game) and sacks (70) is a good recipe for postseason success. They also can clinch if the Colts lose or via this combination: the Titans losing their final game and the Ravens, Colts and Dolphins all winning in Week 17. But within those games, the Vikings have displayed a high-end situational mastery that suggests they are confident and skilled in the small ways that postseason games are often decided. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? First-game outlook: The Chiefs have the No. Super Bowl odds: +3000 4, 64.9%. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Result: The Commanders fell 24-10 to the Cleveland Browns and were eliminated after the Packers defeated the Vikings. "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. Dates and times to be announced later. 7 seed and sets up an exciting offensive matchup against the Chiefs in the wild-card round. The Seahawks will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Rams and a Packers loss to the Lions. Philadelphia will host the lowest remaining seed, per fpi: No speed in both areas. make final in! 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